Growth Cycles and Market Crashes

Public
Creator Series Issue number
  • 279
Date Created
  • 2000-09
Abstract
  • Market booms are often followed by dramatic falls. To explain this requires an asymmetry in the underlying shocks. A straightforward model of technological progress generates asymmetries that are also the source of growth cycles. Assuming a representative consumer, we show that the stock market generally rises, punctuated by occasional dramatic falls. With high risk aversion, bad news causes dramatic increases in prices. Bad news does not correspond to a contraction of existing production possibilities, but to a slowdown in their rate of expansion. This economy provides a model of endogenous growth cycles in which recoveries and recessions are dictated by the adoption of innovations.

Subject (JEL) Mot-clé Related information Corporate Author
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department
Publisher
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Resource type DOI
License

Des relations

Dans Collection:
Dernière modification

Contenu téléchargeable

Télécharger le fichier PDF

Zipped Files

Download a zip file that contains all the files in this work.

Articles