; ; ; "ActiveFedora::Aggregation::ListSource" . a , ; "Predicting Turning Points"; ; "batchuser@example.com"; "Chin, Daniel M.", "Miller, Preston J.", "Geweke, John"; "Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis"; "This paper presents a new method for predicting turning points. The paper formally defines a turning point; develops a probit model for estimating the probability of a turning point; and then examines both the in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting performance of the model. The model performs better than some other methods for predicting turning points."^^; "2000-06"; "2019-08-19T18:04:45.231373881+00:00"^^; "https://doi.org/10.21034/sr.267"; ; "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/"; "Thu Nov 7 21:58:34 2019"; "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/"; "Research Paper"; "524", "136", "266"; "Staff report (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department)"; "267"; ; ; ; ; "Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department"; ; "Publication" . ; .