; ; ; "ActiveFedora::Aggregation::ListSource" . a , ; "Modeling Trends"; ; "batchuser@example.com"; "Sims, Christopher A."; "Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis"; "C52 - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection", "C32 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models"; "Models of low-frequency behavior of time series may have strongly conflicting substantive implications while fitting the data nearly equally well. We should develop methods which display the resulting uncertainty rather than adopt modeling conventions which hide it. One step toward this goal may be to consider “overparameterized” stationary ARMA models."^^; "1989-12-01"; "2019-05-21T19:27:57.115255973+00:00"^^; "https://doi.org/10.21034/dp.22"; ; "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/"; "Wed Apr 22 16:44:27 2020"; "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/"; "Research Paper"; "727"; "Discussion paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics)"; "022"; ; ; ; ; "Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics"; ; "Publication" . ; .