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Creator: Woodford, Michael, 1955- Series: Lucas expectations anniversary conference Keyword: Money supply, Monetary policy, Rational expectations, and Robert Lucas Subject (JEL): E51 - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers and E52 - Monetary Policy -
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Creator: Richard, Jean François and Zhang, Wei Series: Simulation-based inference in econometrics Description: Original document was hand-written so not in OCR searchable format.
Keyword: Econometric modeling, Latent variables, and Simulation Subject (JEL): C32 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models and C15 - Statistical Simulation Methods: General -
Creator: Aiyagari, S. Rao; Wallace, Neil; and Wright, Randall, 1956- Series: Lucas expectations anniversary conference Abstract: A pairwise random meeting model with money is used to study the nominal yield on pure-discount, default-free securities that are issued by the government. There is one steady state with matured securities at par and, for some parameters, another with them at a discount. In the former, exogenous rejection of unmatured securities by the government is necessary and sufficient for such a steady state to display a positive nominal yield on unmatured securities. In the latter, the post-maturity discount on securities induces a deeper pre-maturity discount even if there is no exogenous rejection of unmatured securities.
Keyword: Interest rates, Government securities, and Maturity Subject (JEL): E02 - Institutions and the Macroeconomy and E43 - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects -
Creator: Gourieroux, Christian, 1949-; Renault, Eric; and Touzi, Nizar Series: Simulation-based inference in econometrics Abstract: This paper is interested in the small sample properties of the indirect inference procedure which has been previously studied only from an asymptotic point of view. First, we highlight the fact that the Andrews (1993) median-bias correction procedure for the autoregressive parameter of an AR(1) process is closely related to indirect inference; we prove that the counterpart of the median-bias correction for indirect inference estimator is an exact bias correction in the sense of a generalized mean. Next, assuming that the auxiliary estimator admits an Edgeworth expansion, we prove that indirect inference operates automatically a second order bias correction. The latter is a well known property of the Bootstrap estimator; we therefore provide a precise comparison between these two simulation based estimators.
Keyword: Edgeworth correction, Bootstrap, Econometrics, Indirect inference, Bias correction, Economic models, and Simulation Subject (JEL): C13 - Estimation: General, C22 - Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes, C32 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models, and C15 - Statistical Simulation Methods: General -