Creator: Braun, R. Anton. Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Dept.) Number: 506 Abstract:
This paper investigates the macroeconomic effects of cyclical fluctuations in marginal tax rates. It finds that systematically including tax variables in a standard real business cycle model substantially improves the model's ability to reproduce basic facts about postwar U.S. business cycle fluctuations. In particular, modeling fluctuations in personal and corporate income tax rates increases the model's predicted relative variability of hours and decreases its predicted correlation between hours and average productivity. Fluctuations in tax rates produce large substitution effects that alter the leisure/labor supply decision.
Keyword: Tax rates, Real business cycle model, Corporate tax , Tax, Productivity, Taxation, Taxes, Business cycle, and Income tax Subject (JEL): E32 - Prices, business fluctuations, and cycles - Business fluctuations ; Cycles, H24 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Personal income and other nonbusiness taxes and subsidies, and H25 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Business taxes and subsidies
Creator: Krusell, Per., Quadrini, Vincenzo., and Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor. Series: Lucas expectations anniversary conference Abstract:
We use political-equilibrium theory and the neoclassical growth model to compare the quantitative properties of different tax systems. We first explore whether societies which can only use consumption taxes fare better than societies which can only use income taxes. We find that if government outlays are used mainly for redistribution through transfers, then the answer is no, contradicting conventional wisdom in public finance. The reason for this is that when taxes are endogenous, and voted on by a selfish constituency, the distortionary effects of taxation are taken into account in choosing the level of taxation. Hence, political equilibria have the property that taxes which are relatively distortionary will be relatively low. These results are overturned if the government outlays are used only for the providing of public goods, implying that less distortionary taxes give better outcomes. We also investigate the properties of a tax systems in which both consumption and income taxes are used and voted on simultaneously. Since the ability to use more tax instruments allows redistribution with less distortions, the total amount of transfers tends to be higher here than in one-tax systems. Typically, tax systems tend to be self-perpetuating in the sense that changes of the tax system result in a reduction in the welfare of the median voter.
Keyword: Tax, Consumption tax, Tax system, Income tax, and Taxes Subject (JEL): H25 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Business taxes and subsidies, E62 - Macroeconomic policy, macroeconomic aspects of public finance, and general outlook - Fiscal policy, and H24 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Personal income and other nonbusiness taxes and subsidies
Creator: Huffman, Gregory W. Series: Finance, fluctuations, and development Abstract:
In this paper a dynamic model is constructed in which labor and capital taxes are determined endogenously through majority voting. The wealth distribution of the economy is shown to influence the voting behavior, and hence the equilibrium levels of the tax rates, which in turn affect the future distribution of wealth. It is shown that the economy exhibits a unique dynamic behavior. Because of the endogenously determined taxes, the asset prices, wealth distribution, and the tax rates can display persistent fluctuations, and even limit cycles, in reaction to exogenous disturbances, or even due to initial conditions. It is also shown that "tax smoothing" does not necessarily appear to naturally arise in such a model, as the economy can display extreme fluctuations in the endogenously determined tax rates.
Keyword: Wealth distribution, Voting behavior, Asset prices, Policy formulation, Dynamic general equilibrium model, and Tax rates Subject (JEL): H25 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Business taxes and subsidies, D31 - Distribution - Personal income, wealth, and their distributions, H20 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - General, and H24 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Personal income and other nonbusiness taxes and subsidies
Creator: Bergoeing, Raphael., Hernando, Andrés., and Repetto, Andrea. Series: Advances in dynamic economics Abstract:
We estimate the effects of policy distortions on aggregate productivity. Based on a model of plant production and productivity uncertainty and heterogeneity, and using Chilean manufacturing data, we focus on the effect of taxation on the exit behavior of plants. We find that taxes do distort the liquidation decisions of firms, suggesting that policy distortions reduce the extent to which factors are reallocated towards the most productive plants. Our results have important consequences for growth and development, as policies that alter the measure of plants that operate in equilibrium change the short-run response of output to exogenous shocks and the long run level of aggregate TFP. In particular, we find that the amount of productivity lost due to excessive plant shutdowns are very large.
Keyword: South America, Exit behavior of firms, Chile, Latin America, Taxation policy, and Total factor productivity Subject (JEL): H25 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Business taxes and subsidies and E23 - Macroeconomics : Consumption, saving, production, employment, and investment - Production