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Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department)
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C01 - Econometrics
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Creator: Stutzer, Michael J. Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 140 Abstract: The qualitative dynamics of a discrete time version of a deterministic, continuous time, nonlinear macro model formulated by Haavelmo are fully characterized. The methods of symbolic dynamics and ergodic theory are shown to provide a simple, effective means of analyzing the behavior of the resulting one-parameter family of first-order, deterministic, nonlinear difference equations. A complex periodic and random "aperiodic" orbit structure dependent on a key structural parameter is present, which contrasts with the total absence of such complexity in Haavelmo's continuous time version. Several implications for dynamic economic modelling are discussed.
Parola chiave: Symbolic dynamics, Continuous time model, and Erdogic theory Soggetto: E10 - General Aggregative Models: General and C01 - Econometrics