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Creator: Sargent, Thomas J. Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Dept.) Number: 22 Abstract:
A statistical definition of the natural unemployment rate hypothesis is advanced and tested. A particular illustrative structural macroeconomic model satisfying the definition is set forth and estimated. The model has "classical" policy implications, implying a number of neutrality propositions asserting the invariance of the conditional means of real variables with respect to the feedback rule for the money supply. The aim is to test how emphatically the data reject a model incorporating rather severe "classical" hypotheses.
Mot-clé: Postwar United States, Post-1945, Montarist model, Natural unemployment rate, and Rational expectations theory Assujettir: E24 - Macroeconomics : Consumption, saving, production, employment, and investment - Employment ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Intergenerational income distribution ; Aggregate human capital and E17 - General aggregative models - Forecasting and simulation