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Creator: Chari, V. V. and Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 375 Abstract: This paper develops a model of vintage human capital in which each technology requires vintage specific skills. We examine the properties of a stationary equilibrium for our economy. The stationary equilibrium is characterized by an endogenous distribution of skilled workers across vintages. The distribution is shown to be single peaked and, under general conditions, there is a lag between the time when a technology appears and the peak of it's usage, a phenomenon known as diffusion. An increase in the rate of exogenous technological change shifts the distribution of human capital to more recent vintages thereby increasing the diffusion rate.
Palabra clave: Technology, Skills, Innovation, and Workers Tema: O41 - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models, O31 - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives, and J24 - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity -
Creator: Chari, V. V. and Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 375 Abstract: This paper develops a model of vintage human capital in which each technology requires vintage specific skills. We examine the properties of a stationary equilibrium for our economy. The stationary equilibrium is characterized by an endogenous distribution of skilled workers across vintages. The distribution is shown to be single peaked and, under general conditions, there is a lag between the time when a technology appears and the peak of it's usage, a phenomenon known as diffusion. An increase in the rate of exogenous technological change shifts the distribution of human capital to more recent vintages thereby increasing the diffusion rate.
Palabra clave: Technology, Skills, Innovation, and Workers Tema: O41 - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models, O31 - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives, and J24 - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity -
Creator: Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres and Prescott, Edward C. Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 374 Abstract: The existence of fixed points for monotone maps on spaces of measures is established. The case of monotone Markov processes is analyzed and a uniqueness and global stability condition is developed. A comparative statics result is presented and the problem of approximation to the invariant distribution is discussed. The conditions of the theorems are verified for the cases of Optimal Stochastic Growth and Industry Equilibrium.
Palabra clave: Stochastic dynamic programming, Stochastic growth theory, Monotone functions, Investment theory, Stationay distributions, and Fixed points Tema: C61 - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis -
Creator: Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres and Prescott, Edward C. Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 374 Abstract: The existence of fixed points for monotone maps on spaces of measures is established. The case of monotone Markov processes is analyzed and a uniqueness and global stability condition is developed. A comparative statics result is presented and the problem of approximation to the invariant distribution is discussed. The conditions of the theorems are verified for the cases of Optimal Stochastic Growth and Industry Equilibrium.
Palabra clave: Invariant Markov process, Monotone Markov process, and Stochastic optimization Tema: C61 - Mathematical methods and programming - Optimization techniques ; Programming models ; Dynamic analysis -
Creator: Chari, V. V. and Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 327 Abstract: We present a model of vintage human capital. The economy exhibits exogenous deterministic technological change. Technology requires skills that are specific to the vintage. A stationary competitive equilibrium is defined and shown to exist and be unique, as well as Pareto optimal. The stationary equilibrium is characterized by an endogenous distribution of skilled workers across vintages. The distribution is shown to be single peaked and there is diffusion of technology in the sense that there is a lag between the time when a technology appears and the peak of its usage. An increase in the rate of exogenous technological change shifts the distribution of human capital to more recent vintages and increases the relative wage of the unskilled workers in each vintage.
Palabra clave: Technology, Skills, Innovation, and Workers Tema: O41 - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models, O31 - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives, and J24 - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity -
Creator: Chari, V. V. and Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 327 Abstract: We present a model of vintage human capital. The economy exhibits exogenous deterministic technological change. Technology requires skills that are specific to the vintage. A stationary competitive equilibrium is defined and shown to exist and be unique, as well as Pareto optimal. The stationary equilibrium is characterized by an endogenous distribution of skilled workers across vintages. The distribution is shown to be single peaked and there is diffusion of technology in the sense that there is a lag between the time when a technology appears and the peak of its usage. An increase in the rate of exogenous technological change shifts the distribution of human capital to more recent vintages and increases the relative wage of the unskilled workers in each vintage.
Palabra clave: Technology, Skills, Innovation, and Workers Tema: O41 - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models, O31 - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives, and J24 - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity -
Creator: Chari, V. V. and Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 326 Abstract: 'Structural unemployment' is said to occur in regions or 'sectors' of the economy as a consequence of technological changes. In this paper we present a model which provides an environment which gives rise to unemployment which could be labelled structural unemployment. There is exogenous technological change and vintage specific human capital. Unemployment arises as workers specialized in a particular technology within a vintage decide to search for a job within their vintage, so that their previously acquired special skills are used, instead of getting employed as unskilled workers in the newest vintage. As the rate of technological change increases, the incentives to reassign specialized workers to their same vintage, inccuring therefore in search costs, becomes less attractive, and in consequence the fraction of specialized workers doing search activities decreases. This provides some rationale for the negative correlation between rates of growth and unemployment observed in the data.
Palabra clave: Growth, Vintage human capital, Technology, Structural unemployment, Human capital, Labor market, Unemployment, and Skills Tema: E24 - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity and J24 - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity -
Creator: Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres and Prescott, Edward C. Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 299 Abstract: The existence of fixed points for monotone maps on spaces of measures is established. The case of monotone Markov processes is analyzed and a uniqueness and global stability condition is developed. A comparative statics result is presented and the problem of approximation to the invariant distribution is discussed. The conditions of the theorems are verified for the cases of Optimal Stochastic Growth and Industry Equilibrium.
Palabra clave: Invariant Markov process, Monotone Markov process, and Stochastic optimization Tema: C61 - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis -
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Creator: Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres, Llobet, Gerard, and Mitchell, Matt Series: Staff report (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Department) Number: 273 Abstract: This paper presents a model of cumulative innovation where firms are heterogeneous in their research ability. We study the optimal reward policy when the quality of the ideas and their subsequent development effort are private information. The optimal assignment of property rights must counterbalance the incentives of current and future innovators. The resulting mechanism resembles a menu of patents that have infinite duration and fixed scope, where the latter increases in the value of the idea. Finally, we provide a way to implement this patent menu by using a simple buyout scheme: The innovator commits at the outset to a price ceiling at which he will sell his rights to a future inventor. By paying a larger fee initially, a higher price ceiling is obtained. Any subsequent innovator must pay this price and purchase its own buyout fee contract.
Palabra clave: Policy, Mechanism Design, Sequential Innovation, Innovation, Compulsory Licensing, Patents, and Asymmetric Information Tema: K23 - Regulated Industries and Administrative Law, D82 - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design, D43 - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design: Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection, O31 - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives, H41 - Public Goods, L51 - Economics of Regulation, and L50 - Regulation and Industrial Policy: General -
Creator: Chari, V. V. and Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres Series: Models of economic growth and development Abstract: We present a model of vintage human capital. The economy exhibits exogenous deterministic technological change. Technology requires skills that are specific to the vintage. A stationary competitive equilibrium is defined and shown to exist and be unique, as well as Pareto optimal. The stationary equilibrium is characterized by an endogenous distribution of skilled workers across vintages. The distribution is shown to be single peaked, and under general conditions there is a lag between the time when a technology appears and the peak of its usage, what is known as diffusion. An increase in the rate of exogenous technological charge shirts the distribution of human capital to more recent vintages and increases the relative wage of the unskilled workers in each vintage.
Tema: O41 - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models, J24 - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity, and O31 - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives -
Creator: Hopenhayn, Hugo Andres and Vereshchagina, Galina Series: Advances in dynamic economics Abstract: Entrepreneurs bear substantial risk, but empirical evidence shows no sign of a positive premium. This paper develops a theory of endogenous entrepreneurial risk taking that explains why self-financed entrepreneurs may find it optimal to invest into risky projects offering no risk premium. The model has also a number of implications for firm dynamics supported by empirical evidence, such as a positive correlation between survival, size, and firm age.
Palabra clave: Occupational choice, Risk taking, Intertemporal firm choice, Borrowing constraints, Financing, Firm dynamics, and Investment Tema: L26 - Entrepreneurship, L25 - Firm Performance: Size, Diversification, and Scope, E21 - Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth, and G32 - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill