Creator: Braun, R. Anton. Series: Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research Dept.) Number: 506 Abstract:
This paper investigates the macroeconomic effects of cyclical fluctuations in marginal tax rates. It finds that systematically including tax variables in a standard real business cycle model substantially improves the model's ability to reproduce basic facts about postwar U.S. business cycle fluctuations. In particular, modeling fluctuations in personal and corporate income tax rates increases the model's predicted relative variability of hours and decreases its predicted correlation between hours and average productivity. Fluctuations in tax rates produce large substitution effects that alter the leisure/labor supply decision.
Keyword: Tax rates, Real business cycle model, Corporate tax , Tax, Productivity, Taxation, Taxes, Business cycle, and Income tax Subject (JEL): E32 - Prices, business fluctuations, and cycles - Business fluctuations ; Cycles, H24 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Personal income and other nonbusiness taxes and subsidies, and H25 - Taxation, subsidies and revenue - Business taxes and subsidies